000 02509nam a2200349 i 4500
001 CR9789048522095
003 UkCbUP
005 20240909165819.0
006 m|||||o||d||||||||
007 cr||||||||||||
008 201130s2014||||ne o ||1 0|eng|d
020 _a9789048522095 (ebook)
020 _z9789089645944 (hardback)
040 _aUkCbUP
_beng
_erda
_cUkCbUP
050 0 0 _aHD30.28
_b.W55 2014
082 0 4 _a658.4012
_223
100 1 _aWilkinson, Angela,
_eauthor.
245 1 4 _aThe essence of scenarios :
_blearning from the Shell experience /
_cAngela Wilkinson and Roland Kupers.
264 1 _aAmsterdam :
_bAmsterdam University Press,
_c2014.
300 _a1 online resource (168 pages) :
_bdigital, PDF file(s).
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
500 _aTitle from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 22 Feb 2021).
520 _aIn 1965, Royal Dutch Shell started experimenting with a new approach to preparing for the future. This approach, called scenario planning, eschewed forecasting in favor of plausible alternative stories. By using stories, or 'scenarios,' Shell aimed to avoid the false assumption that the future would look much like the present - an assumption that marred most corporate planning at the time. The Essence of Scenarios offers unmatched insight into the company's innovative practice, which still has a huge influence on the way businesses, governments, and other organizations think about and plan for the future. In the course of their research, Angela Wilkinson and Roland Kupers interviewed almost every living veteran of the Shell scenario planning operation, along with many top Shell executives from later periods. Drawing on these interviews, the authors identify several principles that characterize the Shell process and explain how it has survived and thrived for so long. They also enumerate the qualities of successful Shell scenarios, which above all must be plausible stories with logical trajectories. Ultimately, Wilkinson and Kupers demonstrate the value of scenario planning as a sustained practice, rather than as a one-off exercise.
610 2 0 _aKoninklijke Nederlandsche Petroleum Maatschappij.
650 0 _aStrategic planning.
700 1 _aKupers, Roland,
_d1959-
_eauthor.
776 0 8 _iPrint version:
_z9789089645944
856 4 0 _uhttps://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/9789048522095/type/BOOK
942 _2ddc
_cEB
999 _c9905
_d9905